Market potential in the BSR analysed: 10,000 individual SAT installations a possibility
Baltic Slurry Acidification project has set a baseline in terms of the market potential of slurry acidification technologies (SAT’s) in the new report. The report gives a weighted figure on the potential implementation of SAT’s in terms of the amount of slurry and other liquid manures as well as comparable numbers of SAT’s. In total, there is potential for over 10,000 individual installations and these could process over 200 million tons of liquid manure.
The market potential for slurry acidification technologies in the Baltic Sea Region (BSR) countries was analysed by an expert team consisting of representatives of all the BSR’s EU countries as well as Russia and Belarus. The analysis is based on nine parameters:
- amount and share of livestock manure produced in the form of slurry or other liquid manure
- number of facilities for intensive rearing of poultry and pigs according the Industrial Emissions Directive (2010/75/EU) and as well for cattle, and those who produce slurry.
- whether ammonia emissions are considered in environmental permitting (IED or national)
- regulations concerning particularly sensitive areas, eg. under the Nitrates (91/676/EEC) and the Habitats Directives (92/43/EEC).
- role of nitrogen in water action plans in relation to the Water Framework Directive (WFD, 2000/60/EC).
- existence of machine pools to service farms with field spreading of manure.
- ammonia emission reduction measures to implement the National Emissions Ceilings Directive (2003/35/EU).
- number of agricultural biogas plants and the amount of fermentation residues or digestates.
- number of cattle farms > 150 dairy cows, and the average size of them in terms of number of dairy cows.
The experts’ work in collecting and analyzing the information about these nine parameters reveals knowledge that is not found in official records. Using the market structure and shares of the different SAT’s in Denmark as reference, the report concludes that there is unlocked potential for slurry acidification technologies in most of the other Baltic Sea Region countries. Clearly the most potential is found in Germany, which alone is seen more potential market than the rest of the BSR, including Denmark, combined.
Overall, in the BSR, experts see potential for over 5,000 installations of in-house acidification systems, 2,750 in-storage systems and over 4,000 in-field systems. The report considers just the selected aspects and legislation, for instance, not accounting crop systems, climatic parameters or price levels of agricultural inputs. Further analyses in the project will give a complete picture of the situation and enable specific policy recommendations. The Market potential analysis report can be accessed here.